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Sunday, 9 March 2014

Long-time confidants and relatives battle to succeed Raila Odinga in ODM


ODM leader Raila at Kasarani where party polls aborted

Sunday, March 9th 2014  KIPCHUMBA SOME Kenya: The extended family of former Prime Minister Raila Odinga has been thrust at the centre of a bruising battle for the control of the Orange Democratic Movement as the race to succeed him begins. Some of his closest family members and longtime political confidants feature prominently in two opposing camps that, according to party insiders, are vying to succeed him. On one side of the family divide is his elder brother, Nominated MP Oburu Oginga, and on the other is Gem MP Jakoyo Midiwo, his cousin.
The two are perceived to be representing the old guard and the Young Turks of the party, respectively. The Odinga family has always moved in a tight band but the war of words between the two MPs – which began in the run-up to last year’s General Election, belies an epic struggle for the heart and soul of the country’s biggest political party by parliamentary representation. Prof Makau Mutua, the dean at the University at Buffalo Law School and an ardent supporter of Raila says what is happening in ODM are the early political machinations to succeed the party leader. Now Watch: Party leader Raila Odinga holds talks with warring factions,which agree to share several positions “The young people in ODM have concluded that the king is wounded and therefore should be removed. I think they have concluded that his best days are behind him now and that it is their turn to take charge. This is not a fight that will end soon and with time Raila will be a peripheral player in what is happening,” he said. Last week, ODM was forced to postpone the election of new party officials after goons posing as party security personnel destroyed polling materials. The jury is still out on whether the chaos was spontaneous or planned, as some senior party officials have intimated. Whichever the verdict, many contend that the elections might have been the proverbial straw that broke the camel’s back. A war of words pitting Midiwo on the one hand and some of Raila’s close allies led by Oburu and Homa Bay Senator Otieno Kajwang’ on the other hand marked the entire campaign process. Midiwo has accused Oburu, Kajwang’ and other members of Raila’s kitchen Cabinet of giving the party leader wrong advice and wants them kicked out of the party’s leadership altogether.
It is a war that saw Raila’s campaign manager in the last elections Eliud Owalo “withdraw” his services from ODM this week following what he termed persistent and unwarranted attacks by Midiwo. Nothing to add Owalo told The Standard on Sunday that he did not have a word to add over and above what he wrote in his letter to Raila, but some party members accuse him of mismanaging Raila’s campaigns last year. On the other hand, Oburu has hit back saying Midiwo is punching way above his political weight and further claimed that he never won his Gem seat fairly in the last elections. But the war between Jakoyo and Oburu is not entirely new: the former opted to support James Orengo for the Siaya Senate seat over Oburu during last year’s March 4 polls. The war of words between the two cousins is surprising to many Kenyans but as a family insider who did not wish to be named since he is not authorised to speak on behalf of the family put it, it has everything to do with who succeeds Raila. Now Watch: Party leader Raila Odinga holds talks with warring factions,which agree to share several positions “I see no family dispute in this. Raila, Jakoyo and Oburu meet often and talk about family issues but each of them holds different views on the future of the party. That is politics. I believe that what we are witnessing in ODM is nothing more than a fight for the heart and soul of the party between the young Turks and the old guard,” he said. In any case, said Tony Gachoka, who was Raila’s director of protocol while he was Prime Minister until their bitter fallout in 2011, said Raila is his own man.“It is easy and quite convenient to say Raila is being misadvised. That is quite convenient for me. But the Raila I know is his own man. He will listen to advice from family and friends but ultimately he makes the decisions himself, be they popular or not,” he said. Significant position Midiwo opposed the idea of the elections all along and boycotted the polls at Kasarani, saying he saw no reason for them to be held now. He predicted, quite correctly, that the polls would divide the party. “Jakoyo has everything to gain by aligning himself with the youthful leaders in the party as opposed to the old guard. What has Oburu got to lose? ODM is a mass movement party and whoever has a significant position in it, has a toehold in the politics of the nation,” said the insider. Other prominent Nyanza politicians who did not attend the party elections include Orengo, Nairobi Governor Dr Evans Kidero and Rongo MP Dalmas Otieno
Dalmas withdrew his candidature for the post of Secretary General saying he had been coerced by Raila to do so. Never before has ODM members so openly and brazenly taken positions thought or perceived to be at variance with those of Raila as they have done in the run up to the party polls. Another ODM insider who is very close to the Odinga family who asked not to be named so as to speak freely, said this kind of criticism is what ODM needs the most now. “The last two elections that Raila lost left a bitter taste in our mouths, because we lost narrowly. But we have to appreciate that some degree of poor planning contributed to the defeat. Some decisions were made without consulting party members,” he said. He added, “A few people sat in a closed door and made decisions that had far-reaching implications. That is what we want to avoid at all costs if we are to reinvent ourselves for the next polls. We cannot do things the same way and expect a different result. What we are asking for is a call for greater transparency and openness in the running of party affairs.” New style Now Watch: Party leader Raila Odinga holds talks with warring factions,which agree to share several positions A number of young politicians from Raila’s Nyanza backyard have openly called for a new way of doing things in ODM in such a brave manner that could easily be misconstrued as being rebellious. However, the tragedy of it is that these young politicians have been bashed as ungrateful betrayers and moles working for the Jubilee government to destroy ODM within. That is the all-too familiar lethal weapon that nearly all parties in Kenya use whenever they want to cut down to size an ambitious young politician. However, the insider decried this method of approaching dissent, a strategy usually associated with the party old guard, as doing more harm than good to the party. “When some of the aspirants were labelled Jubilee moles, I knew we had lost the plot. This kind of talk has been used to suppress and intimidate outspoken members,” he said. Going back to recent memory he said: “That was the same kind of talk that drove away Ruto (Deputy President William Ruto) and company. How can we be talking of reinventing ourselves by creating bad blood between our supporters?”
Makua casts doubts about Raila’s capacity to successfully transform the party into a national outfit that can survive without him being at the heart of it. “Political parties are captive to individuals. The fate of the party is usually tied to the fate of the party leaders. In my own assessment there are too many tribal interests in ODM that will prevent him from carrying out any meaningful reforms. If he forces them through, then he will likely be the first victim of the reforms,” he said. ODM was raked over the coals for the aborted elections at Kasarani. See, its competitors said, the single largest party in the country is not as democratic as it claims after all. But the two party insiders who asked not to be named said the botched elections were a blessing in disguise for the party. “Yes, they did not present the best image of our party. But we now have time for the tempers to cool off and think issues over again,” said one of them.

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