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Thursday 7 February 2013

Presidential aspirants should know that Kenyans lie on opinion polls - Tom Wolf

Thursday February 7, 2013 - Ipsos Synovate senior researcher Tom Wolf has sensationally claimed that a big percentage of Kenyans lie to the pollsters when conducting polls.

In an interview with journalists on Wednesday, Wolf said almost all poll companies have posted figures showing 95 percent of the people they approached for polling purposes are registered voters, yet only 14.3 million out of the eligible 22.5 million are registered to vote. This makes the total percentage of registered voters 63 percent against the eligible percentage of 100.

“Most of these respondents could be lying to us. If indeed they are lying, one could say Kenyans do not generally like to come out honestly on such matters. They always want to be on the correct side of history,” Wolf said.

Wolf said he noticed the same “pattern of lies” in August 2003 poll auditing performance of the historic 2002 elections. 92 percent of those polled said they voted yet only 69 percent of the registered voters actually did.

He said polling companies do not insist on actual proofs like voters card when conducting their research as such questions would take a lot of time and the respondents may lose interests.

“If we were to demand proof probably the figures would be different, unfortunately we cannot. It is like a customer in a hotel lying he is a vegetarian when he is not. You do not expect the waiter to go hard on him to table proof!”

He said statistics from pollsters in this year election, would have a significant difference, due to the issue of voter registration dynamics.

The Kenyan DAILY POST

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